Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000149 0.000165 0.000182 0.000202 0.000224 0.000248 0.000277
2025-04-20 0.000119 0.000142 0.000169 0.000202 0.000244 0.000293 0.000357
2025-04-27 0.000103 0.000129 0.000162 0.000207 0.000265 0.000339 0.000443
2025-05-04 0.000089 0.000118 0.000154 0.000206 0.000277 0.000375 0.000519
2025-05-11 0.000081 0.000110 0.000149 0.000208 0.000293 0.000414 0.000606
2025-05-18 0.000073 0.000102 0.000143 0.000206 0.000302 0.000446 0.000683
2025-05-25 0.000066 0.000095 0.000137 0.000204 0.000310 0.000476 0.000762
2025-06-01 0.000060 0.000089 0.000132 0.000202 0.000316 0.000502 0.000838
2025-06-08 0.000054 0.000082 0.000124 0.000195 0.000314 0.000515 0.000892
2025-06-15 0.000051 0.000079 0.000122 0.000197 0.000328 0.000555 0.001000
2025-06-22 0.000048 0.000076 0.000121 0.000201 0.000344 0.000602 0.001127
2025-06-29 0.000045 0.000072 0.000116 0.000196 0.000344 0.000618 0.001197
2025-07-06 0.000040 0.000065 0.000108 0.000186 0.000335 0.000618 0.001238
2025-07-13 0.000038 0.000063 0.000105 0.000186 0.000345 0.000658 0.001371
2025-07-20 0.000036 0.000061 0.000105 0.000190 0.000362 0.000715 0.001551
2025-07-27 0.000034 0.000058 0.000102 0.000189 0.000370 0.000753 0.001697
2025-08-03 0.000032 0.000056 0.000100 0.000191 0.000384 0.000804 0.001885
2025-08-10 0.000030 0.000054 0.000098 0.000190 0.000390 0.000842 0.002045
2025-08-17 0.000028 0.000052 0.000095 0.000188 0.000396 0.000878 0.002210
2025-08-24 0.000027 0.000049 0.000092 0.000186 0.000400 0.000909 0.002365
2025-08-31 0.000025 0.000046 0.000087 0.000179 0.000394 0.000916 0.002456
2025-09-07 0.000024 0.000045 0.000087 0.000181 0.000408 0.000976 0.002715
2025-09-14 0.000023 0.000044 0.000087 0.000185 0.000426 0.001049 0.003029